Thursday, November 4, 2021

Opinion Today: Two lessons from this week’s elections

Dig into the results with us.
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By John Guida

Senior Staff Editor, Opinion

Focus only on mayoral races from New York to Seattle, and you would think that Democrats had a wildly successful Election Day on Tuesday.

In Boston, a Taiwanese American woman, Michelle Wu, was elected mayor. Her victory "represents a seismic shift to a political landscape in which 'white' and 'male' were prerequisites to be elected mayor since the position was established here in 1822," Eileen McNamara wrote in a guest essay.

But in most other places — like the big governor's races in Virginia and New Jersey — the returns were concerning for Democrats: Bret Stephens' column, "Why Democrats Are in Trouble," and Ross Douthat's column, "Republicans Schooled the Left in Virginia," suggest the gloom.

In Opinion, as we dig into the results, two themes have emerged.

Democrats face an identity crisis

Democrats lost or ran neck-and-neck in states (Virginia and New Jersey) that President Biden won in 2020 by double digits. Something went badly wrong.

Bret noted some outside factors (like Terry McAuliffe's "lousy campaign" and a "manifestly inept" Biden) but pointed to the party's "deeper problem": "the persistent and justified perception of a party too often composed of fake moderates and dissembling radicals."

The issue for the party, he added, "is either dishonesty about the kind of country they want, a lack of self-awareness, or some combination of both."

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Ross was specific about the left's direction: "Democrats probably need a new way to talk about progressive ideology and education." In a guest essay, Adam Jentleson and Tory Gavito offer a strategy: "Instead of ignoring race while Republicans beat us silly with it, Democrats must confront it and explain that powerful elites and special interests use race as a tool of division to distract hard-working people of all races while they get robbed blind. Then pivot back to shared interests."

The G.O.P. has an opportunity

In an essay last night, Frank Bruni noted that the Republican candidates were "Trumpy to a T." But they weren't Trump: Glenn Youngkin and Jack Ciattarelli's surprising performances "raise the possibility that the cultural and racial resentments of Trumpism without the thundering monomania of Trump may be a more profitable formula for the Republican Party than unalloyed and unabashed worship of its tempestuous god."

Ross examined the favorable environment for the G.O.P.: "The combination of a struggling Democratic administration and an overreaching cultural progressivism has created an immense political opportunity" — and maybe "you don't actually need a Trump-like figure at the top of the ticket to mobilize Donald Trump's core voters."

It was a night of celebrations, surprises and crushing disappointments. Democrats are glad it's not 2022.

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