Friday, July 30, 2021

Opinion Today: Is the pandemic getting worse?

For unvaccinated Americans, yes.
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By Alexandra Sifferlin

Senior Staff Editor, Opinion

The spread of the Delta variant and reports of breakthrough infections may have vaccinated people feeling anxious, even if the vaccines are working as they should. "Covid-19 is not even close to a crisis for those who are vaccinated, but it is a true danger to those who are unvaccinated," writes Aaron Carroll in his guest essay this week on the state of the pandemic in the United States.

If you and most of the people living around you are vaccinated, things are much better than they used to be, he writes. Even with Delta spreading, that remains true. But for the unvaccinated, the risks of being hospitalized or dying from Covid-19 haven't improved much since the start of the pandemic.

Despite hopes for a "summer of joy and freedom," amid rising Covid-19 cases the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued new masking guidelines that include urging even the vaccinated to mask up indoors in places with high transmission rates.

While the change has spurred much anxiety and debate, Carroll argues that thinking about the situation in the United States as an escalating emergency for everyone is "not quite right" and that ultimately asking the vaccinated to mask up is unlikely to be what changes the trajectory of the pandemic.

"Such recommendations are less likely to succeed because they are more likely to be followed by those already primed to listen — the vaccinated — and to be fought and ignored by those who aren't," he writes.

Other experts, including Jennifer Nuzzo and Beth Blauer at Johns Hopkins, argue in another guest essay that in order for measures like bringing back universal masking to work, leaders and health officials need to do much more to prove the value of that strategy. This includes tying masking requirements to specific metrics, like vaccination coverage goals and acceptable hospitalization levels.

What pandemic policies should aim for at this point, argues Carroll, is to reinforce the message that the vaccines work and to push more people to get them. He's in favor of mandates: So far, mere persuasion has not convinced enough Americans to get vaccinated.

"Hospitalizations and deaths are rising in some areas not because someone didn't wear a mask at the ballgame," writes Carroll. "They're occurring because too many people are not immunized."

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Ideas

David Brooks

What's Ripping American Families Apart?

The U.S. seems to be in the middle of a pervasive psychological decline.

By David Brooks

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Jamelle Bouie

Manchin and Sinema Have Their History Wrong

Senate Democrats who won't give up the filibuster to secure voting rights are fooling themselves.

By Jamelle Bouie

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Guest Essay

The Housing Market Is on Fire. It Doesn't Need More Fuel.

It's not time yet to be raising interest rates. But let's at least stop pouring $120 billion a month into the financial markets.

By Steven Rattner

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Greg Bensinger

Tesla Turned the Streets Into a Lab. Guess What Happened Next.

We're all Tesla's guinea pigs.

By Greg Bensinger

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Guest Essay

What the U.S. Can Learn From Europe's Approach to Artificial Intelligence

The E.U. provides a model for how to take the threats of A.I. seriously.

By Frank Pasquale and Gianclaudio Malgieri

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Guest Essay

Catholic Doctrine Defies Both the Right and the Left. That's Why America Needs It.

The audience for the church's social teachings has long extended beyond just the faithful.

By Matthew Walther

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Spencer bokat-Lindell

Are the Olympics Too Broken to Fix?

The Tokyo Games have been called the "cursed" Olympics, and for good reason. But the Games have been a little cursed for a while now.

By Spencer Bokat-Lindell

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Thursday, July 29, 2021

Opinion Today: This map shows another crisis on the horizon

The eviction moratorium expires Saturday, and millions could lose their homes.
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By Stuart A. Thompson

Graphics Director, Opinion

The coronavirus created a moment for a new kind of Opinion journalism. I run the visual journalism team for the Opinion section, and during the pandemic we've tried to find ways to use data to convey arguments using charts, tools and interactive graphics. We've published pieces about vaccine readiness timelines, created computer models of the virus and tried to estimate where you were in the vaccine line.

For the vaccine-line essay, we worked with Surgo Ventures, a health nonprofit we encountered when searching for new and interesting data. They had created a tool for health officials to plan vaccine rollouts, showing who qualified for the jab in each state. I kept in touch with one of the leaders behind that project, Sema K. Sgaier, who is a professor at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health and the co-founder and chief executive of Surgo Ventures.

Together, we worked on another piece that profiled the four types of people who are hesitant about getting the vaccine, and using survey data and analysis, allowed you to dig into the reasons for vaccine skepticism in your state.

As the pandemic raged on, Sema kept an eye out for moments when her team's data work could guide policymakers toward urgent problems. That's why she's returned this week, with her colleague Aaron Dibner-Dunlap: to raise the alarm about an eviction crisis that has been building throughout the pandemic. It's not yet a full-blown disaster — but only because an eviction moratorium prevented people from losing their homes. But that expires on Saturday. And when it ends, more than six million American households could face eviction and homelessness.

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Their estimates are staggering. Renters overall owe $23 billion, or about $3,700 on average. In Los Angeles, the average renter who's behind owes about $5,300. In New York, more than 400,000 are behind. Smaller counties are not spared: In Columbia County, Ga., the writers estimate that 1,200 households owe a total of $4.6 million in unpaid rent.

The federal government is trying to help, earmarking $50 billion of aid for renters. But local governments are struggling to connect renters with the money. And they're running out of time to do so.

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A lot of our work in Opinion tries to bring attention to people who need help. That's harder to do with an eviction crisis, since struggling renters are found in every county and state. The data helps tell that story in a very concrete way, showing not just how many people are falling behind, but where they live and who's responsible for giving them the help that they need.

Read the full story here, and enter your county to see what the eviction crisis looks like close to home.

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New York Times Opinion curates a wide range of views, inviting rich discussion and debate that helps readers analyze the world. This work is made possible with the support of subscribers. Please consider subscribing to The Times with this special offer.

Games Here is today's Mini Crossword and Spelling Bee. If you're in the mood to play more, find all our games here.

Forward this newsletter to friends to share ideas and perspectives that will help inform their lives. They can sign up here. Do you have feedback? Email us at opiniontoday@nytimes.com

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